Uncover Saturday’s MLB Best Bets: Can We Extend the Winning Streak Beyond Friday’s Perfect Record?
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Houston has a clear edge in the pitching matchup. Rea has given up 11 home runs over his last seven starts and 6+ ERs in three of his past five outings. McCullers’ basic numbers look worse than Rea’s, but McCullers has a better Stuff+ (103-96), according to FanGraphs, and FIP (4.77-4.24).Â
More importantly, the Astros have the best bullpen FIP and WAR in the majors. Two of their three best relievers didn’t pitch Friday, and All-Star closer Josh Hader only threw three pitches. Lastly, Houston has the second-best home record in baseball, and McCullers has a better winning percentage (68.3-51.2%), ERA (4.26-2.92), and WHIP (1.401-1.136) at home historically.Â
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