Uncover the Dark Horses Poised to Upset the College Football Playoff Semifinals

Here’s one big question about each semifinal, plus picks from Opta Analyst’s TRACR and me. On second thought, because we’ve only got two FBS games this week, let’s pose two questions per game, one for each team.
Oh, and it’s worth noting the TRACR projection model hasn’t missed a CFP pick yet (8-0).

Orange Bowl: No. 6 Penn State vs. No. 7 Notre Dame, Jan. 9 at 7:30 p.m. EST at Hard Rock Stadium
The Big Penn State Question: What happens if Abdul Carter isn’t his usual self?
Penn State’s best player is Carter, the All-American edge rusher who will soon be an early first-round NFL pick. Carter’s 46 pressures, 12.0 adjusted sacks, and three tipped passes all lead the Nittany Lions, as does his 28% pressure rate. Carter is a sackmaster but not just that, as he also leads the squad with 26 run stuffs.


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