Uncover the Hidden Contenders Set to Shake Up 2025 Belmont Stakes Day at Saratoga Race Course

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Eight horses on a 1.25-mile dirt track for 3-year-olds with a $2m purse. 

Look, it’ll be tough to beat the two betting favorites, #2 Sovereignty and #7 Journalism. But, #6 Baeza (4-1) has run faster in all five races, peaking with a 102 Beyer in a third at the Kentucky Derby, and 101 is the average winning speed of the past 20 Belmont Stakes. He almost ran down these two horses in the Kentucky Derby, showing he can handle a sloppy track.

Baeza’s tactical speed is a positive here because there is a likelihood of rain in Saratoga, so the track could be sloppy, which favors early speed, and the two betting favorites are closers. Mounted by Flavien Prat, Baeza is the brother of last year’s Kentucky Derby champion, Mage, and the 2024 Belmont winner, Dornoch, who also ran out of the #6 post last year. 

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