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I do think Tennessee can put up a fight, but if they cant stop Iowa State from deep, the game will be over very quickly. Tennessee is one of the better three-point defensive teams in the game, sitting at 19th in opponent 3-point percentage according to Team Rankings. However, they do allow 20 free throws per game to opponents, and that is a concern for me. In tight games like this, that stuff matters. Iowa State, to me, doesn’t seem to be elite in the paint, and it could be an edge for Tennessee. However, against Virginia, they only won that battle by two points. I’m going to split a unit here as I like the over and I like the Cyclones -4.5. I think the free throws make a difference, and I think this should see both teams hit 70 points at least.Â
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