Uncover the Secret Underdog Picks That Could Shake Up Every Elite Eight Game in the 2026 NCAA Tournament!
The Iowa-Illinois total opened at 138.5 because of their slow paces, this is a neutral-site game, and recency bias. The Fighting Illini went Under the total by 20.5 points in their 65-55 win over 2-seed Houston in the Sweet 16, and Iowa PG Ben Stirtz hasn’t played a good game yet in this tourney. Stirtz leads the Hawkeyes in points and assists per game, usage rate, and PER.
That said, I like fading recent results in sports betting if there is logic supporting the fade, and Iowa’s defense isn’t nearly as tough as Houston’s. And even if Stirtz doesn’t have a bounce-back game Saturday, I like both offenses in this matchup. Iowa and Illinois have better offensive ratings than defensive ratings, and they are elite shooting teams from everywhere on the floor.Â
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