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Underdog Pacers on the Verge of an Unthinkable NBA Finals Upset Against the Thunder: Can They Seal the Deal?

Underdog Pacers on the Verge of an Unthinkable NBA Finals Upset Against the Thunder: Can They Seal the Deal?

The Pacers have looked like the deeper team in the Finals, with eight players averaging at least 10 points per game. The Thunder have been more top-heavy, with only four players averaging 10 points but Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams combining for 54.7 per game.

While the Pacers have more options to go to, the Thunder have the stabilizing force of two superstar bucket-getters to lean on if the game gets ugly (as Game 7s often do). Perhaps one of Oklahoma City’s many bench options gets hot from 3 at home to complement the two stars. With their dominance at home all season, the Thunder have to be seen as the favorite – and our projection model gives them a 79.7% probability of winning (as of Friday).

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