Unexpected Clash: Can the Underdog Heels Tame the Fierce Wolfpack Tonight?
What to watch for:
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NCST – trends to watch
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OFFENSE Needs to score 79 or more points – The Wake Forest game is an outlier, the Pack won scoring only 70 points. Otherwise, the Wolfpack scored 79 or more in every ACC win. (In ACC losses NC State scored 61 pts, 74 pts, 76 pts, 77 pts)
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Q Needs Greater than 6 Assists – In the Miami, Louisville and UVA losses he had 5, 3, and 4 assists respectively, his 3 lowest assist totals in ACC play. Against Clemson, GT, and FSU he had 6 assists – we won 2, lost 1. Every other game he had at least 8.
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NCST – record watch – McNeil has 81 made 3PT shots after 26 games. He’s averaging 3.1 per game, tracking for 96 in the regular season. DJ Horne’s record is 105 (88 reg. season, 17 post season)
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Rebounding – “I think rebounding is the number one determining factor of an outcome of a game.“ Hubert Davis / Roy Williams / Matt Doherty / Bill Guthridge / Dean Smith / Frank McGuire ….
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UNC – strengths – offense – 2nd in ACC play in offense averaging 82.6 ppg, 5th in FG%
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UNC – weaknesses – defense – 11th in ACC play in defense, allowing 77.9 ppg, 17th in opponent allowed FG%, 18th in opponent allowed 3PT%
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UNC – strength – 2nd in ACC play in assists
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UNC – weaknesses – 12th in ACC play in FT%, 13th steals
Prediction:
Defense! UNC scored less than 70 points 3 times, losing 2 (Miami 66-75, MSU 58-74) and winning the Kentucky game 67-64.The Wolfpack hits the 79+ point goal and holds the Heels under 70. 80-69



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