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Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?

Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?

But it’s asking a lot of Clemson’s defense to win a game in which the offense looks so overmatched at the point of attack. The winner will move on to face running back Cam Skattebo and the Arizona State Sun Devils, who won the Big 12 Championship game, in the quarterfinals.

  • TRACR’s Projected Winner (With Probability): Texas (91.9%)
  • Kirshner’s Pick: Texas -11.5 

One Big Question: Is Nico Iamaleava ready for his closeup?

Opta Analyst’s “heavy box percentage” stat measures how often the defense has more defenders in the box than the offense has players to account for them. The three FBS teams facing the lowest heavy box percentage in 2024 are the three you might guess: Air Force, Army, and Navy, all between 20-25%. After all, it’s hard to outnumber a team in the box when they put everyone in the box. 

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