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Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?

Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?

Next up, at 26.4%, is Tennessee. The Vols rate highly in this department every year, but defenses have reached a new level of “not loading up at the line of scrimmage” against them this year. Perhaps that’s out of fear of Iamaleava, who has been inconsistent (a 76.9% well-thrown rate, below the national average of 77.5%) but likes to air the ball out (11.0 average air yards per attempt) and has flashed brilliance in certain moments. 

well thrown percentage
(Minimum 100 Attempts)

The main beneficiary of defenses’ bodies-off approach to the line of scrimmage has been running back Dylan Sampson, who gained 5.8 yards per carry and made first-team All-SEC. Tennessee was outnumbered in the box on 25.9% of Sampson’s snaps at running back, a much lower rate than any of his peers in the conference. Sampson took 193 carries against an even or offense-advantaged box – 59 more than anyone else in the SEC – and averaged 6.2 yards on them.

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