Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?
The Hoosiers can win. It’s just that, as long as Indiana’s run game flounders against another elite defense, it will have to happen in a rock fight.
- TRACR’s Projected Winner (With Probability): Notre Dame (62.0%)
- Kirshner’s Pick: Notre Dame -7.5
No. 11 SMU at No. 6 Penn State (Saturday, Dec. 21)
One Big Question: How good is SMU’s defense?
The SMU offense is going to have problems in Happy Valley. That much seems inevitable. Penn State edge rusher rusher Abdul Carter (27.2% pressure rate, 10.0 adjusted sacks) might be the best defender in the sport. Carter is also a bear against the run, as are defensive tackle Zane Durant (20.0% run disruption rate) and most of the players who suit up on the Nittany Lion front.

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