Unexpected Underdogs Poised to Shake Up College Football Playoff First Round: Who Will Defy the Odds?
Penn State’s team-wide run disruption rate of 60.5% is second in college football behind Indiana. SMU coach Rhett Lashlee could scheme up some touchdowns in this game, but the formula SMU deployed so often this year – get consistent yardage from tailback Brashard Smith and keep things moving with a decent pass game – won’t work.

Penn State’s 42.9% pressure rate (elite) against SMU’s 34.1% pressure-allowed rate (quite bad) may wind up telling the story of the afternoon. Carter could spend a lot of time near SMU QB Kevin Jennings.

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