Unexpected Underdogs Set to Shock the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals—Who Will Rise?

Here’s one big question about each quarterfinal, plus a few notes based on the data for how each could unfold.

Fiesta Bowl: No. 6 Penn State vs. No. 3 Boise State (Tuesday, Dec. 31)

One Big Question: Does Penn State have the answers to the Ashton Jeanty test?

Nobody has had them all season – not even No. 1 Oregon when it hosted the Broncos back in Week 2. Jeanty ran 25 times for 192 yards that night in Eugene, a 7.7-yard average that almost resulted in an upset. Jeanty’s worst game was a 33-carry, 128-yard slog against UNLV in October, and even then, the Heisman Trophy finalist got his. Jeanty has had a historic season; nothing defensive coordinators have tried has worked.

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