Unlock the Secrets Behind the Untold Story That Everyone’s Talking About!

Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season is upon us — the very last hurrah before the fantasy football playoffs kick into high gear. Ever wonder why your lineup decisions suddenly feel like a game of high-stakes poker? Well, this is where every choice counts, every player’s value can flip on a dime, and expert consensus often misses some hidden gems. That’s why we’re diving deep into data this week, offering fresh angles on who’s truly worth that start and who might be better off warming the bench. Ready to shake up your lineup with insights that might just surprise you? Let’s break down those undervalued and overvalued players to give you that crucial edge heading into the season’s climax. LEARN MORE.

In our 2025 NFL Week 14 fantasy football start/sit analysis, we let the data give another perspective that likely varies from the overall expert picks.

It’s the ever-important Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season.

Why? It’s the final week of the regular season in most fantasy leagues.

Obviously, it’s a huge weekend for those fighting for either a playoff spot or better seeding (like a postseason bye) in their respective leagues. As a result, decision-making when it comes to the lineup has never been more critical.

And while we can’t go into the future and tell you if your questionable players will be good to go, we can help you determine which players are undervalued and overvalued this week.

Note: We’re comparing our rankings to the expert consensus rankings (ECR) from Fantasy Pros. These rankings update throughout the week (we pulled these numbers from Wednesday). Once again, we are using PPR unless noted otherwise.

Week 14 Fantasy Football Start ’Em

QB Daniel Jones, IND vs. JAC (ECR: 14, Our Rank: QB5, Projected Points: 17.25)

After such a scintillating start to the season for Jones and the Indianapolis Colts, the wheels have fallen off with back-to-back losses. And just like that, pundits are talking as much about their chances of missing the playoffs as they are about their chances of winning the division.

It starts this week in a top-of-the-AFC-South showdown against the Jacksonville Jaguars, a team that is in the bottom 10 of the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. Jones has multiple touchdowns in every game but one since Week 5 and the passing floor should be more than high enough to overcome the leg injury that Jones is dealing with.

Entering this week, the Colts were still first in points per game. Don’t let two straight losses fool you; this is a good offense. Jones is one spot ahead of Jalen Hurts and is a worthy start.

WR Alec Pierce, IND vs. JAC (ECR: 29, Our Rank: WR18, Projected Points: 12.49)

We’ve been banging the drum for Pierce all year as being among the most underrated players, and nothing changes this week.

He enters Week 14 in the top 10 in receiving yards per game, he’s fifth in catches of 25 or more yards, and when Jones throws him the ball, good things happen. Additionally, 87.9% of Pierce’s catches have gone for a first down, which is tracking to be the highest percentage since 2015.

From a fantasy perspective, he has at least 17.5 PPR points in three of his last four games and he’s up to over 11 PPR points per game on the season. Against a Jags defense that has allowed the eighth-most completions when a QB has attempted a deep pass (21+ air yards), here’s betting that Pierce hits at least one big play in this game, if not two.

The model is projecting 40 wide receivers to have more receptions than Pierce this week. But he’s 12th in projected receiving yards, and for us, he’s a solid WR2 option once again.

RB Ashton Jeanty, LV vs. DEN (ECR: 17, Our Rank: RB9, Projected Points: 15.81)

On the surface, any Las Vegas Raiders player should be considered a stay-away against the Denver Broncos defense. The Broncos are first in yards allowed per play and first in sacks. That probably spells big trouble for the Raiders and Geno Smith, considering only Cam Ward has been sacked more times than Smith.

But look a little closer. When there’s heavy pressure on a quarterback, the QB often chooses to dump the ball off to his running back. And that’s what’s been happening the last five weeks.

Jeanty hasn’t averaged more than 3.2 yards per carry in any one of his last five games. But across that time span, he also has 28 receptions – which is only one fewer than Christian McCaffrey – and he leads all NFL running backs in targets.

Expect more of the same for Jeanty this week. It’s not the ground game that’ll propel Jeanty to a borderline top 10 weekly finish, it’s his work through the air.

TE Dawson Knox, BUF vs. CIN (ECR: 31, Our Rank: TE5, Projected Points: 11.28)

Week 14 Fantasy Football Sit ’Em

QB Joe Burrow, CIN vs. BUF (ECR: 7, Our Rank: QB15, Projected Points: 13.87)

Just for all the neutral football fans, it was great to get Burrow back last week. For the Cincinnati Bengals and their fans, it had to be thrilling.

For fantasy football managers who probably left Burrow on their bench to make sure he was healthy enough to produce a worthy performance, well, hopefully your team survived without him and you’re able to make a run with him.

But maybe your reliance on Burrow should wait one more week. Despite looking mobile on rollouts and when facing general pressure, Burrow only had eight rushing yards last week and unless a quarterback is throwing for three touchdowns a game, a higher output on the ground is usually required to achieve a top-10 finish.

That’s especially true against the Buffalo Bills, who are quietly first in the NFL in passing yards allowed and tied for second in fewest passing touchdowns surrendered. Our model has Burrow as a mid-tier QB2.

Other Nays

RB Bucky Irving, TB vs. NO (ECR: 6, Our Rank: RB16, Projected Points: 13.26)
WR Justin Jefferson, MIN vs. WSH (ECR: 14, Our Rank: WR22, Projected Points: 12.21)

Didn’t see the names you were after? Be sure to check out our full fantasy football projections. And follow along on Instagram, Bluesky, Facebook and X for more.

The post Week 14 Fantasy Football Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: All the Yays, Nays, Projections & Rankings appeared first on Opta Analyst.