Highlights

“Unlock Winning Secrets: Two MLB Best Bets That Could Elevate Your Masters 2025 ‘Moving Day’ Experience!”

"Unlock Winning Secrets: Two MLB Best Bets That Could Elevate Your Masters 2025 'Moving Day' Experience!"

What’s better than a thrilling weekend of sports, right? Well, how about following a winning formula in MLB while lounging with a front-row seat for The Masters 2025? That’s where I found myself after going 2-0 on Friday—though I did completely flub the pitcher’s handedness on one of those bets. But hey, it’s all about the bigger picture and the overall analysis, which turned out to be spot-on! As I roll the dice on a new slate of games this Saturday, I can’t help but wonder: could this be the year my luck changes in baseball after a few underwhelming seasons? Whether you decide to fade or follow my insights below, just know you’re risking good money on what might be a golden comeback! LEARN MORE.

Despite completely whiffing on the pitcher’s handedness for one of my bets, I went 2-0 in MLB Friday because the rest of my analysis was spot-on. So, since I’m playing with house money and sitting around all day watching The Masters 2025, I’m running it back in baseball Saturday. Maybe my good luck expires, or perhaps I’m finally due for a good year in MLB after a couple of bad ones. Regardless, fade or follow the looks below at your own peril. 

The odds are the best available at the time of writing. 

Cincy won the series opener 5-3 Friday. Pittsburgh sends LHP Andrew Heaney (0-0, 1.50 ERA) to the bump Saturday, while Reds starting LHP Andrew Abbott makes his 2025 debut. Pittsburgh has a slight edge in the starting pitching duel because Cincinnati is 1-3 vs. lefty starters and ranks 29th in wRC+ and wOBA against left-handed, according to FanGraphs. 

More importantly, the Pirates have more hands on deck in their bullpen, using just two relief pitchers Friday. The Reds used three of their highest-power-rated relievers, per FanGraphs, including closer Emilio Pagán. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has a lower Fielding Independent Pitching (“FIP”), 4.53-4.03, which is more predictive than ERA because it removes factors out of the pitcher’s control. 

Also, I might be “galaxy-braining” this too hard, but everyone is down on the Pirates, including their season ticket holders, yet the line is moving toward Pittsburgh. The market bet Cincy’s futures heavily pre-season, so people like the Reds. However, the Pirates beat them 8-5 in their season series last year, and my fair price for Pittsburgh’s moneyline Saturday is -120. 

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Get the Rockies out of the launching pad known as “Coors Field”, and they cannot hit. Colorado has the fewest runs scored in baseball and averages 1.6 runs per game on the road. The Padres shutout the Rockies 8-0 in their series opener Friday and Colorado has scored just three runs in its last four road games. 

Three additional factors point to this being a low-scoring affair. First, San Diego’s bullpen leads MLB in ERA so far this year. Second, Petco Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball. Third, Rockies starting RHP Chase Dollander (1-0, 7.20 ERA) is the 14th-ranked prospect in the majors with nasty stuff. 

Since they smacked Colorado Friday, the Padres didn’t use their four best relievers, and they had an off-day Thursday. San Diego righty closer Robert Suarez, who is FanGraphs’ No. 1 ranked reliever, and setup man, RHP Jason Adam, who is third, are both available. Friday’s starting pitching matchup wasn’t much better, but the total was 7.5, so I see value in UNDER 8.5.

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Follow me on X (or Twitter, whatever) @Geoffery-Clark, and check out my OutKick Bets Podcast for more betting content and random rants. I’ll add bets to my MLB 2025 betting record via X all season. 

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