Unlocking the Secrets of NFL Dominance: How ELO Ratings are Revolutionizing the Game
All this is to say that Garrett was so good that for Thomas, winning half his 1-on-1s against him in Week 3 was actually a pretty good performance.
We also used this method to evaluate wideouts through tracking matchups between a receiver and defensive back when assessing which teams would benefit most from acquiring Cooper Kupp from the Los Angeles Rams.
In that case, our ELO model assigns a rating to each receiver, accounting for both ELO against zone and man defense. Again, at the beginning of a data set, every player has the same rating. Based on these ratings, each matchup has an expected result. If two players have the same rating, each is expected to win 50% of the time. If thereâs a 100-point difference in the ratings, the higher player is expected to win about 64% of the time.
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