Unveiling the NBA Rookies Shocking Everyone with Their Unexpected Dominance This Season
Another thing we can do differently is to judge rookies based on where they were selected in the NBA Draft. After all, you can’t reasonably have the same expectations for a late second-rounder as you do for someone who’s selected at the top of the lottery.
To do this, we will use our all-in-one metric DRIP, which projects a player’s contribution to a team’s plus/minus per 100 possessions.
We took the average DRIP of past rookies at the end of those seasons based on the spot they were selected in the draft. To avoid getting too granular, we split certain ranges of picks into groups. In total, we have 11 different groups: picks 1-5 have their own group, 6-10 is a group, 11-14, 15-20, 21-30, 31-45 and 46-60.
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