Upset Alert: Dark Horse Teams Poised to Conquer March Madness in 2025?

This is not Mark Few’s best team, but it’s one of the more experienced, having 78.5% of its scoring coming from seniors. Gonzaga averages 86.6 points while Houston allows only 58.5. Something will have to give.

Midwest Region: Probability of Making the Final Four 

1. Houston (25.4%)
2. Tennessee (19.6%)
3. Gonzaga (18.3%)
4. Kentucky (8.4%)
5. Illinois (6.8%)
6. Purdue (5.2%)
7. Clemson (5.1%)
8. UCLA (4.1%)
9. Texas/Xavier (2.3%)
10. Georgia (1.5%)
11. Utah State (1.5%)
12. McNeese State (0.8%)
13. High Point (0.5%)
14. Troy (0.3%)
15. Wofford (0.2%)
16. SIUE (<0.1%)

Trust the Top Seeds and Pick the 12-5 Upset

There is a 22.2% chance that at least one of Auburn, Duke, Houston and Florida make the Final Four. There is a 62.6% chance the Final Four will have at least one 1 seed or 2 seed as well. The 1 and 2 seeds have a significant edge over the field, per TRACR.

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