Week 1 College Football Showdowns: Which Underdogs Could Shock the Nation?
Here’s how Opta Analyst’s TRACR model sees the biggest college football games of Week 1 – plus, a few themes to look out for in these season-opening blockbusters. TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster) is a net efficiency metric that evaluates how well a team performs based on who it plays.
The model is based on an EPA (expected points added) calculation weighed by who teams play. A team with a TRACR of 0.0 is considered an average team in the FBS. So let”s say TCU has a TRACR of 14.0 and Indiana is at 0.0. If they played each other at a neutral site, the most likely outcome would be TCU winning by 14 points.
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