Week 2 College Football Predictions: Which Underdogs Are Poised to Shock the Biggest Matchups?
The model is based on an EPA (expected points added) calculation weighed by who teams play. A team with a TRACR of 0.0 is considered an average team in the FBS. So if TCU is at 14.0 and Indiana is at 0.0, then TRACR projects the likeliest outcome on a neutral field to be TCU over Indiana by 14 points.
Right now, the FBS ranges from Georgia (26.5 TRACR) at the top to Conference USA’s Kennesaw State (minus-21.9) at the bottom. (This week’s games are all much closer than that.)
No. 3 (TRACR) Texas at No. 16 Michigan, 12 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX
Davis Warren is Michigan’s quarterback, at least for now. Warren beat out last year’s top backup, Alex Orji, in the race to succeed JJ McCarthy behind center. Early returns weren’t great. Warren averaged 4.7 yards per throw and coughed up an interception in his debut, and he frequently was a bit off on his throws or firing the ball short of the first-down marker on passing downs.

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