Week 4 College Football Showdowns: Which Underdogs Could Shock the Powerhouses This Weekend?
There’s no doubt Week 4 of the college football season is a bit more stacked with interesting matchups than last week.
Opta Analyst’s TRACR model offers its own take on these college football games. TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster) is a net efficiency stat that measures how a team should play against a standardized level of competition. The model is based on an EPA (expected points added) calculation weighed by opponent strength.
A team with a TRACR of 0.0 is considered an average team in the FBS. So if a team with a 7.5 TRACR faced a team with a minus-3.0 TRACR, the better team would be a 10.5-point favorite, according to the model.
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