Which Conference Championship Will Ignite the Biggest College Football Playoff Mayhem?
Opta Supercomputer’s Win Probability: Alabama 59.9%
5. Mountain West: UNLV at Boise State
What happens if Duke wins, Troy does the unthinkable and shocks James Madison, and UNLV moves to 11-2 by winning in Boise?
That would leave these three conference champs for two spots:
- 8-5 ACC winner Duke
- 9-4 Sun Belt winner Troy
- 11-2 Mountain West winner UNLV
It wouldn’t be Troy. But would the Runnin’ Rebels have a shot at beating out the Blue Devils? It’d be marginal, but I could see it. The gulf between two losses and five is wide, and UNLV won its only Power Four game.


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