Which Underdog Women’s Teams Are Poised to Shock and Secure Automatic NCAA Tournament Bids?

March is more than just a month—it’s a full-on frenzy in the world of women’s college basketball. Every year, you get the drama, the heartbreak, and those eye-popping upsets that make you wonder if the NCAA tournament itself might be the calm after the storm. But this season? It feels like the excitement dial just got turned way up. Why? Because the balance of power is shakier than ever before, with more parity filtering through the leagues. Suddenly, those conference tournaments aren’t just a formality—they’re the battlegrounds that could reshape the entire NCAA landscape.

And let’s be honest: with teams fighting tooth and nail for those automatic bids—or clawing to shove themselves off the bubble—the stakes couldn’t be higher. Single elimination means every possession counts, which translates to some of the most edge-of-your-seat basketball you’ll see all year. To make sense of all the chaos, we ran thousands of simulations for each conference tournament using TRACR—a sophisticated metric that weighs a team’s offensive and defensive efficiency against the strength of their opponents. To put it simply, it’s like giving you a sneak peek into who’s got the best shot at glory, down to the decimal point.

So, whether you’re a die-hard fan dreaming of Cinderella stories or a stats junkie hungry for data-driven insights, we’re breaking down the odds, surprises, and storylines. Ready to find out which teams our supercomputer favors as they chase those coveted automatic NCAA bids? Let’s dive right in.

LEARN MORE.

We’re diving through each league and revealing who our supercomputer’s favorites are in our NCAA women’s basketball conference tournament predictions.


March is an exciting time in women’s basketball every season. But this season might be even better.

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