Which Underdog Women’s Teams Are Poised to Shock and Secure Automatic NCAA Tournament Bids?
Weâve simulated each conference tournament thousands of times using TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster). It is a net efficiency metric that calculates a teamâs points per possession on both sides of the ball, adjusted for the strength of the opponent.
TRACR represents how many points per 100 possessions above or below average a team is. An average team is at 0.0, while a really good team might have a TRACR rating of 20 or more. As an example, a team with a TRACR rating of 20 is projected to outscore an average team by .20 points per possession (20 divided by 100) in a game. If the game had 70 possessions, then that team would be expected to outscore the average team by 0.2*70=14 points.
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