Why Are the Thunder Suddenly Overwhelming Favorites in the NBA Finals Against Surprising Underdogs?

Oklahoma City Thunder is not just favored—they’re overwhelmingly expected to claim the NBA Finals crown this season. After a commanding 124-94 victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals, the Thunder have established themselves as giants on the court, reflected in their odds at BetMGM: a staggering -625 to secure the championship title. That means a $10 wager nets you a modest $1.60 profit if they pull it off—a testament to just how heavy the favorite they are. Their regular season dominance was nothing short of historic, finishing 68-14 and setting a new standard with a point differential of +12.9 per game, eclipsing a record that stood since the Lakers’ ’71-’72 dynasty run. Led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the MVP who’s been unstoppable with 32.7 points per game, OKC’s excellence extends to their near-perfect conquest of Eastern Conference foes, where they’ve gone 29-1. Meanwhile, the Finals picture narrows as the Indiana Pacers edge closer to a likely showdown with the Thunder, currently holding a 3-1 lead over the New York Knicks. With such a resounding season behind them, it’s no wonder the Thunder stand tall among NBA elites right now. LEARN MORE

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AdvertisementOKC’s incredible regular season was bolstered by its dominance of the Eastern Conference. And that assuredly plays a big role in the team’s status as a huge Finals favorite. Oklahoma City went 29-1 against teams from the East.The Thunder’s only loss to an East team came on Jan. 8 when they fell 129-122 on the road to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Eight days later, the Thunder promptly beat the Cavs by 20 at home.