Why the Washington Commanders Could Be Facing Their Toughest Season Yet: 8 Unexpected Challenges Ahead

This dovetails into the section below, but the Commanders converted 20-of-23 (87.0%) fourth-down attempts last season. Washington’s record in one-score games would’ve been worse with a slightly worse fourth-down conversion rate. Ultimately, the Commanders “ran like gods” and will likely regress to the mean this year. 

Speaking of “regress,” typically, you want to fade teams that go from an easy schedule to a difficult one, teams with good injury luck the year prior, and teams with unsustainable conversion rates. The Commanders check all three boxes. Per FTN Football, they are going from the 12th-easiest schedule in 2024 to the second-toughest this season. 

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