Will Colorado Shock the Nation? ESPN FPI’s Bold 2025 Week 1 Predictions Revealed!
ESPN’s FPI odds are not forecasting Colorado to have another standout season like the Buffs had in 2024 when they won nine games. If we dig deeper, ESPN’s metrics suggest Colorado could struggle on a week-in, week-out basis during the 2025 season.
- ESPN’s FPI projections predict a 5-7 season for the Colorado Buffaloes in 2025.
- The Buffaloes face a challenging schedule, especially in the latter half of the season, with tough matchups against conference rivals.
- The toughest game is predicted to be against Kansas State, where Colorado has a low 26.1% chance of winning.
- Despite the challenging outlook, ESPN’s metrics suggest Colorado has a fighting chance in every game.
Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions.It is a demanding back-end schedule for the Buffs, but even if the metrics are predicting a loss, the percentages still give Colorado a chance in every game.Here is how the ESPN FPI matchup predictions look for Colorado’s entire 2025 season, as well as a running snapshot of Colorado’s projected record based on these percentages.Below is a look at each game on Colorado’s 2025 schedule with a closer look at ESPN’s FPI matchup predictor for each matchup. The Buffs are a heavy favorite in only two games, with most matchups closer to a coin flip in the hotly contested Big 12 Conference. The most challenging game appears to be the regular season finale against Kansas State, one of the conference’s best teams. Opening the season against Georgia Tech is no picnic either.
Aug. 29 vs. Georgia Tech
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Colorado
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 52.7%
- All-Time Series | First meeting
- Projected Running Record | 1-0
Sept. 6 vs. Delaware
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Colorado
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 92.7%
- All-Time Series | First meeting
- Projected Running Record | 2-0
Sept. 12 at Houston
- Space City Financial Stadium (Houston, Texas)
- Predicted Winner | Colorado
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 58.4%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 1-0
- Projected Running Record | 3-0
Sept. 21 vs. Wyoming
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Colorado
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 88.9%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 24-2-1
- Projected Running Record | 4-0
Sept. 27 vs. BYU
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | BYU
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 38.1%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 7-4-1
- Projected Running Record | 4-1
Oct. 4 at TCU
- Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)
- Predicted Winner | TCU
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 66.0%
- All-Time Series | Tied 1-1
- Projected Running Record | 4-2
Oct. 11 vs. Iowa State
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Iowa State
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 45.1%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 49-15-1
- Projected Running Record | 4-3
Oct. 25 at Utah
- Rice Eccles Stadium (Salt Lake City, Utah)
- Predicted Winner | Utah
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 43.6%
- All-Time Series | Utah leads 35-33-3
- Projected Running Record | 4-4
Nov. 1 vs. Arizona
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Colorado
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 66.6%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 17-10
- Projected Running Record | 5-4
Nov. 8 at West Virginia
- Milan-Puskar Stadium (Morgantown, West Virginia)
- Predicted Winner | West Virginia
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 47.0%
- All-Time Series | Tied 1-1
- Projected Running Record | 5-5
Nov. 22 vs. Arizona State
- Folsom Field (Boulder, Colorado)
- Predicted Winner | Arizona State
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 42.7%
- All-Time Series | ASU leads 10-4
- Projected Running Record | 5-6
Nov. 29 at Kansas State
- Bill Snyder Family Stadium (Manhattan, Kansas)
- Predicted Winner | Kansas State
- Buffaloes Win Probability | 26.1%
- All-Time Series | CU leads 45-21-1
- Projected Final Record | 5-7 (2-7 in the Big 12)
Follow Charlie Strella on X, Threads and Instagram.The 2025 Colorado Buffaloes football season is shaping up to be a real test of grit and determination. ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) forecasts a tough slog ahead, predicting a 5-7 record that falls short of the impressive nine-win campaign we witnessed in 2024. The season’s schedule isn’t doing Colorado any favors either — particularly as they enter the heart of Big 12 play, where bruising contests and gritty rivalries loom large. The toughest hurdle? That’s the season’s climax against Kansas State, a showdown where the Buffs are pegged with a mere 26.1% chance of victory. Yet, despite the uphill battle laid out by ESPN’s metrics, there’s a silver lining: every game still holds a fighting chance for Colorado. This season won’t be a walk in the park, but the Buffaloes have the tools and tenacity to surprise the doubters. Curious to dive deeper into what ESPN’s FPI has in store for the Buffaloes in 2025? LEARN MORE
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