Highlights

2025 MLB Playoffs: Which Surprising Teams Will Dominate by Memorial Day?

Largest Decrease in Win Pct – Since 1969

  1. 1997-98 Florida Marlins (-.235)
  2. 1981-82 Cincinnati Reds (-.234)
  3. 2024-25 Colorado Rockies (-.210)
  4. 2003-04 Arizona Diamondbacks (-.204)
  5. 2024-25 Baltimore Orioles (-.204)

It may have been fair to ask whether a 31-13 finish in 2024 was a fluke. But now the Detroit Tigers (35-20) have gone an MLB-best 66-33 since Aug. 11 of last year.

The Tigers are well-rounded with an lineup that ranks second in O-TRACR and a pitching staff that ranks fifth in raw value. Our model is convinced, giving them the third-highest probability (20.0%) of reaching the World Series behind the Yankees (39.1%) and Cubs (27.3%).

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