2025 MLB Playoffs: Which Surprising Teams Will Dominate by Memorial Day?

Bobby Witt Jr. and solid pitching and defense (second in D-TRACR) will likely keep the Kansas City Royals (29-26) around. Witt Jr. is the only player in MLB to lead his team in runs, hits, doubles, triples and stolen bases.

The Chicago White Sox (17-37) aren’t good, but they aren’t nearly as bad as they were last season. They have the sixth-highest differential between preseason TRACR and current TRACR (+0.90), and are projected to have a plus-22 win increase over 2024.

How does our model project what is perhaps the most jumbled division in baseball? With a familiar team at the top.

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