Dark Horse Prop Bets That Could Shatter the AFC Championship Against the Broncos
The lookahead line for this game was Denver -1.5, which basically tells you the market thinks Nix is worth about 6.5 points to the spread once the number flips through zero. Sure, crossing zero changes how the move “feels,” but the point still stands: that’s a massive adjustment.
And honestly? Nix isn’t that valuable. He’s probably closer to 3.5–4.0 points better than an average NFL quarterback. People, including me, have been criticizing Nix all season for being kind of mediocre.Â
Yes, he has an NFL-best seven game-winning drives and has delivered a few legitimately impressive performances. But he’s also had some ugly outings, like when Denver’s offense managed 10 points vs. the Las Vegas Raiders, 13 points vs. the Jets, and 19 points vs. the Chargers in Week 18 when LAC was resting most starters.Â
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