Inside Circa Million VII: The Surprising Survivor Picks That Could Shake Up NFL Week 4

Inside Circa Million VII: The Surprising Survivor Picks That Could Shake Up NFL Week 4

I wrote hundreds of words on why Carolina’s spread was the first NFL bet I made this week. But the gist of my analysis is: “-5.5 is too many points for a New England team that hasn’t proven anything”. My model makes these teams equal on a neutral field, and the Panthers have a better roster. Everyone loves Patriots QB Drake Maye, but he’s only 4-11 as a starter, so how good is he? 

(LISTEN to Panthers-Patriots analysis on this week’s OutKick Bets Podcast with Geoff Clark).

The self-anointed King of Thursday Night Football (me) prevailed again when Seattle held off Arizona in a 23-20 win. One of the best feelings in sports betting is going into the weekend with a win banked in the NFL, which is my specialty. Since 2023, I’m 19-2 on sides and total bets on Thursday Night Football and a perfect 4-0 this season. 

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