Inside the 2025 NFC Wild Card Showdown: How the Packers’ Secret Edge Seals Their Victory Over the Bears

Inside the 2025 NFC Wild Card Showdown: How the Packers’ Secret Edge Seals Their Victory Over the Bears

With Love out there and the Packers close to full strength, offensively, they should light up Chicago’s soft-a** defense.

If you want one “tell” that travels week to week, it’s early-down performance. Entering Week 17 (not counting Week 18 since Green Bay essentially took the week off), the Packers were seventh in early-down success rate differential. The Bears? Twenty-third.

Early-down success rate is predictive because the whole playbook is available on first and second down, and that’s exactly where good offenses separate themselves from defenses that are just hoping for a giveaway. 

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