Knicks-Spurs Thriller: The Unbelievable NBA Playoff Series That Defied Every Expectation in 25 Years
We are able to go back to generate live win probability outputs since the 2002 NBA postseason. Let’s dive in to see how the Knicks-Spurs series stacks up in those 25 years.
Excitement Index of Closest NBA Playoff Series (with average time remaining)
- 1. Knicks over Spurs, 2026 NBA Finals (5 games): 17.8 seconds
- 2. Grizzlies over Thunder, 2013 Conference Semifinals (5): 25.2 seconds
- 3. Cavaliers over Pacers, 2017 First Round (4): 58.5 seconds
- 4. Trail Blazers over Rockets, 2014 First Round (6): 1 minute, 10.2 seconds
- 5. Heat over Bucks, 2020 Conference Semifinals (5): 1 minute, 15.8 seconds
- 6. Knicks over Pistons, 2025 First Round (6): 1 minute, 19.4 seconds
- 7. Hawks over Wizards, 2015 Conference Semifinals (6): 1 minute, 27.2 seconds
- 8. Mavericks over Thunder, 2011 Conference (5): 1 minute, 37.7 seconds
- 9. Cavaliers over Pistons, 2007 Conference Finals (6): 1 minute, 51.9 seconds
- 10. Warriors over Rockets, 2019 Conference Semifinals (6): 1 minute, 52.3 seconds
By this metric, the Knicks-Spurs series rates as the closest in the last 25 postseasons. In Game 1, the Knicks’ win probability surpassed 90% with 1:11 remaining. In every other game, neither team dipped below a 10% chance of winning for the final time until there were less than 10 seconds to go.
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