March Madness Shockers: Which Dark Horses Are Poised to Upend the NCAA Tournament?

March Madness Shockers: Which Dark Horses Are Poised to Upend the NCAA Tournament?

A March Madness prelude: Basketball conference tournament schedule

What teams are surging in March Madness projections? And which ones are starting to stumble?

Here’s a look at the latest list of rising and falling teams for the 2026 NCAA Tournament:

Projected seeds are based on the bracketology update from USA TODAY Sports on Feb. 27

Rising

Florida

Current projected seed: No. 2

The reigning national champions once again look like one of the favorites to cut down the nets with “One Shining Moment” playing in the background. The Gators got off to an inauspicious 5-4 start, but have gone 18-2 since. Their once-struggling backcourt of Xaivian Lee and Boogie Fland is starting to round into form while its frontcourt remains arguably the best in the sport.

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