Sweet 16 Showdown: Which Underdog Could Topple the Powerhouses and Rewrite the Bracket?
Sweet 16 Win Probability
No. 1 Arizona (68.4%) vs. No. 4 Arkansas (31.6%)
No. 2 Purdue (69.2%) vs. No. 11 Texas (30.8%)
Final Four Probability
Arizona (43.4%), Purdue (34.8%), Arkansas (13.7%), Texas (8.1%)
South Region
The South Region is the tightest of the bunch, as no team has more than a 52.6% chance of making the Elite 8. But the winner of the Sweet 16 matchup between Houston (fifth in TRACR; Emanuel Sharp and Kingston Flemings both top-30 in DRIP) and Illinois (sixth TRACR; Keaton Wagler eighth in WAR) combine for a 63.9% chance of advancing out of the region and to the Final Four.


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