Sweet 16 Showdown: Which Underdog Could Topple the Powerhouses and Rewrite the Bracket?
We’ve simulated the NCAA men’s basketball tournament thousands of times to find the chances of teams advancing in March Madness. Here’s where we stand prior to the Sweet 16.
The first weekend of the 2026 NCAA Tournament delivered some moments that help define it as March Madness.
High Point won as a 12-seed and Siena put a scare into Duke in the first round, and St. John’s knocked out Kansas on a buzzer beater and No. 9 Iowa sent No. 1 Florida home in the second round.
But those moments never fully turned into chaos.
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