Sweet 16 Showdown: Which Underdog Could Topple the Powerhouses and Rewrite the Bracket?
That doesn’t mean Nebraska and Iowa lack a chance of advancing to Indianapolis. Iowa’s Bennett Stirtz has been one of the best players in the country all season and ranks fourth in WAR. Nebraska is sixth-best in defensive TRACR, with Sam Hoiberg ranking third in defensive VAPR and ninth in defensive DRIP.
Sweet 16 Win Probability
No. 2 Houston (50.9%) vs. No. 3 Illinois (49.1%)
No. 4 Nebraska (52.6%) vs. No. 9 Iowa (47.4%)
Final Four Probability
Houston (32.3%), Illinois (31.6%), Nebraska (20.0%), Iowa (16.1%)
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