Sweet 16 Showdown: Which Underdog Could Topple the Powerhouses and Rewrite the Bracket?
Duke may be the favorite, but there is little margin for error in this region.
Sweet 16 Win Probability
No. 1 Duke (66.5%) vs. No. 5 St. John’s (33.5%)
No. 2 UConn (49.2%) vs. No. 3 Michigan State (50.8%)
Final Four Probability
Duke (43.7%), UConn (20.4%), Michigan State (20.1%), St. John’s (15.8%)
Midwest Region
After rolling in their first two NCAA Tournament games, Michigan remains the favorite to come out of the Midwest, and it holds the highest TRACR rating in the country. Yaxel Lendeborg scored 25 points in the Wolverines’ win over Saint Louis in the round of 32 and sits second nationally in WAR and third in DRIP.


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