Unlocking Victory: The Surprising Stat That Could Decide the NBA Conference Finals
The styles of play are as intriguing as the competitiveness of the NBA conference finals. Here is one data point to monitor for each of the last four teams standing.
The Oklahoma City Thunder had possession of the ball, down two points late in the fourth quarter of Game 1 of the Western Conference finals Monday night.
It was easy to argue whether they would take a 2- or a 3-point attempt against the San Antonio Spurs.
The Thunder could take the shorter 2-point attempt and try to force overtime. However, the probability of hitting a 3 – roughly 35% this postseason – was higher than the chance of hitting the 2 and winning in overtime (26.3%, if you assume they had a 50% chance of winning in overtime).
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