Week 3 College Football Showdowns: Which Underdog Could Shock the Nation?
The model is based on an EPA (expected points added) calculation weighed by opponent strength. A team with a TRACR of 0.0 is considered an average team in the FBS. If a team with a 4.5 TRACR has a matchup with a minus-2.0 TRACR team at a neutral site, the better team would be a 6.5-point favorite, according to the model.
Let’s see what it says about who are the best bets in NCAA football Week 3.
No. 32 (TRACR) Arizona at No. 20 Kansas State, 8 p.m. ET Friday, FOX
Though this matchup is considered a nonconference game, Arizona looks like a fringe contender for the conference title and Kansas State is a favorite atop the new 16-team Big 12 along with Utah.
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