2026 NBA Playoffs: Can Any Team Stop the Thunder’s Shocking Quest for a Repeat?
It’s not surprising, of course, given the Thunder had their own tier in our TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster) preseason rankings. Using the TRACR numbers, win-loss records and matchups ahead, the same supercomputer has run playoff simulations to produce probabilities for teams reaching each round and winning the NBA championship.
OKC, which is the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, is favored for a title repeat, with a 26.4% championship probability. Only three other teams are even at 7.0%: the West No. 2 seed San Antonio (16.4%), then the Eastern Conference No. 2 seed Boston Celtics (13.4%) slightly over the No. 1 seed Detroit Pistons (12.8%).
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