2026 NBA Playoffs: Can Any Team Stop the Thunder’s Shocking Quest for a Repeat?
Western Conference
The Thunder have the highest win probability in every round, starting with an 88.2% chance in the first round against a play-in opponent to be determined. Coach Mark Daigneault mailed in the final two games with a lineup of reserves, but before those losses to the Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns, the Thunder geared up for the NBA playoffs with 19 wins over a 20-game stretch.
There’s good reason the Spurs are the most formidable competition for OKC: Victor Wembanyama & Co. went 4-1 head-to-head in the regular season – twice as many wins as the Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix, the only other teams to reach double figures against the Thunder. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who won the NBA MVP and NBA Finals MVP awards last season, was sidelined for one of the losses against the Spurs.
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