Inside the Second-Round Secrets: Which Underdog Will Shock the NBA Playoffs Next?
Lakers’ Path To Success: The prediction model indicates no team has more of a mountain to climb than the Lakers (10.4% chance of winning the second-round series). The Thunder aren’t the dysfunctional Houston Rockets – LA’s first-round opponent – so the underdogs need Luka Doncic back from a hamstring strain. He’ll be out to start the series, but, they hope, it isn’t much longer after that. From there, the Lakers need to follow the same blueprint of the 76ers beating Boston: hit shots and don’t turn the ball over. The Thunder (first in D-TRACR for the second straight season) are one of the best defenses we’ve seen in quite some time and an opponent absolutely can’t allow them to force turnovers (second in opponent TOV%) and create a track meet. LA’s three-headed monster (Doncic, Austin Reaves and LeBron James) makes it one of the best shot-making teams (second in expected FG% during the regular season). However, the Lakers struggled with ball security during the regular season (20th in TOV%). They have to hold onto the ball to have a chance for a series upset.
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