Inside the Second-Round Secrets: Which Underdog Will Shock the NBA Playoffs Next?
No. 2 San Antonio Spurs (62-20) vs. No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33)
Spurs’ Path To Success: No team in the first round averaged more points in the paint (57.0) than the Timberwolves. When a team can get to the rim so frequently, it’s less prone to offensive lulls because interior shots and free throws (a secondary benefit of getting downhill) fall more consistently than outside shots. On the flip side, the Portland Trail Blazers – the Spurs’ first-round opponent – finished 12th of 16 teams in this category. That can be explained by the 7-4 force of nature patrolling the middle for the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama. With the NBA Defensive Player of the Year on the court, the Spurs outscored the Blazers by 18 points per 100 possessions. A lot of this came from his contributions as a rim protector. The Spurs had a 95.7 defensive rating in his minutes on the floor (he missed two games while in concussion protocol). If Wembanyama can stay healthy, San Antonio is the better team (second in TRACR) and should steamroll right by the T-wolves (unless, that is, this next player steps up in a big way).
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