Men’s Basketball Conference Tournaments: Which Dark Horses Could Steal the Last NCAA Bids This Week?
Despite being the third seed, and ranking third in the conference in TRACR, Siena is a slight favorite to win the tournament because of its favorable path. Marist and Merrimack, the two highest-rated teams by TRACR, are on the same side of the bracket, while Siena’s first matchup is against a Mount St. Mary’s squad that ranks eighth of the 10 teams that qualified for the tournament.
Missouri Valley
- 1. Belmont (27.8%)
- 2. UNI (20.6%)
- 3. Bradley (14.3%)
- 4. Illinois State (13.6%)
- 5. UIC (7.7%)
- 6. Murray State (6.7%)
- 7. Southern Illinois (6.1%)
- 8. Valparaiso (2.1%)
- 9. Indiana State (1.0%)
- 10. Drake (0.1%)
- 11. Evansville (<0.1%)
Drake, despite three straight conference championships and trips to the NCAA Tournament – with a win over Missouri in the first round last year – has only a 0.1% chance of winning the Missouri Valley under first-year coach Eric Henderson.



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