Men’s Basketball Conference Tournaments: Which Dark Horses Could Steal the Last NCAA Bids This Week?

Men’s Basketball Conference Tournaments: Which Dark Horses Could Steal the Last NCAA Bids This Week?

Meanwhile, favorites Troy and Marshall will only have to win two games. Troy ranked second in the Sun Belt in regular season TRACR, but Marshall ranked only sixth.

Troy’s Thomas Dowd leads the Sun Belt in WAR, DRIP and VAPR, and will try to lead Troy to its second straight Sun Belt title and NCAA Tournament appearance.

West Coast Conference

  • 1. Gonzaga (59.8%)
  • 2. Saint Mary’s (32.2%)
  • 3. Santa Clara (7.3%)
  • 4. San Francisco (0.5%)
  • 5. Pacific (0.1%)
  • 6. San Diego (0.1%)
  • 7. Loyola Marymount (<0.1%)  
  • 8. Portland (<0.1%)
  • 9. Washington State (<0.1%)
  • 10. Seattle (<0.1%)
  • 11. Oregon State (<0.1%)  
  • 12. Pepperdine (<0.1%)  

Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s are a clear top two in the West Coast Conference Tournament, as one of them wins in over 90% of our simulations. Both teams are locks to make the NCAA Tournament even without the automatic qualifier, while Santa Clara has some work to do. Even without an automatic bid, a notable tournament performance could get the Broncos an at-large bid due to their impressive resume. They rank 27th in TRACR.

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