MLB Playoff Race Shockers: Unexpected Contenders Emerge at Memorial Day Turning Point

MLB Playoff Race Shockers: Unexpected Contenders Emerge at Memorial Day Turning Point

The model doesn’t just project the Rangers will climb above .500 and make the playoffs, it sees them winning the AL West.

MLB Projections Through May 21
Graphic by Graham Bell.

The projections would fall into these playoff pairings (with seeding):

MLB Predictions: American League

  • No. 5 Seattle Mariners (wild card) vs. No. 4 New York Yankees (wild card), winner to play No. 1 Tampa Rays (AL East)
  • No. 6 Athletics (wild card) vs. No. 3 Texas Rangers (AL West), winner to play No. 2 Cleveland Guardians (AL Central)

MLB Predictions: National League

  • No. 5 San Diego Padres (wild card) vs. No. 4 Chicago Cubs (wild card), winner to play No. 1 Atlanta Braves (NL East)
  • No. 6 Arizona Diamondbacks (wild card) vs. No. 3 Milwaukee Brewers (NL Central), winner to play No. 2 Los Angeles Dodgers (NL West)

Seven of those teams were projected as postseason-bound in the preseason: The Rangers, Yankees and Mariners in the AL, and the Dodgers, Braves, Cubs and Brewers in the NL. The other preseason playoff projections – the Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals, Houston Astros, New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies – have work to do.

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