The Unseen Force Behind the 2025-26 NBA MVP Race That Shattered Expectations
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama are the three finalists for the 2025-26 NBA MVP award. We built a model using historical data to project the outcome.
The finalists are set. The ballots are in. The numbers are no longer changing.
At this point, the NBA MVP race is not about projecting outcomes, it’s about understanding them.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder), Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) and Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) stand as the three finalists for the award. Each built a regular season strong enough to justify the honor. Each shaped the league in a different way. And each, at various points, looked like they could be the sport’s most valuable player.
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