Unlock Hidden Value: Why Betting Against the Chiefs Could Be Your Smartest NFL Week 12 Move

Unlock Hidden Value: Why Betting Against the Chiefs Could Be Your Smartest NFL Week 12 Move

The first click I’m making in NFL Week 12 is on the Kansas City Chiefs (5-5) to win by margin at home vs. the Indianapolis Colts (8-2) Sunday. Kansas City opened as -3.5 favorites, but fell to an expensive -3 Monday at most sportsbooks. KC is ninth in the AFC after Week 11, meaning they are outside the playoff picture, while Indy is third with a two-game lead in the AFC South. 

Last week, the Chiefs closed as -4 favorites at the Denver Broncos, and Kansas City closed as -2.5 favorites at the Buffalo Bills in Week 9. Granted, KC lost both games: 28-21 to Buffalo and 16-13 to Denver. Yet, I have the Broncos and Bills power-rated higher than the Colts, so the Chiefs should be at least -5 favorites in this spot. 

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