Unlock Hidden Value: Why Betting Against the Chiefs Could Be Your Smartest NFL Week 12 Move
This spread is an overreaction to their records, but as a bettor, I try to ignore records and just focus on the matchup. That said, Indianapolis’s record is misleading because it’s played the 30th-toughest schedule, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF). Kansas City, on the other hand, has played the toughest schedule.
KC’s losses aren’t that bad. The Chiefs lost to a healthy Los Angeles Chargers in Brazil in Week 1, the reigning Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles without WR Rashee Rice in Week 2, a fluky loss at the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are 6-4 on the current 7-seed in the AFC, 2024-25 NFL MVP Josh Allen in Buffalo, and an 8-2 Broncos team in Denver.
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