Unlocking Hidden Gems: The Sleeper Prospects Our Model Predicts Will Dominate Beyond the NBA Draft Lottery
Of particular note:
- Nine of the 28 players named to the NBA All-Star teams this season were selected outside the lottery.
- Seventeen of the top 50 players in the current NBA DRIP all-in-one metric were drafted outside the lottery.
- Twenty-one of the top 50 players in the Stats Perform WAR (Wins Above Replacement) metric were undrafted or taken outside the lottery.
- Three players ranked in the top 10 of our 2025-26 NBA MVP prediction model were non-lottery picks.
To identify some of this year’s draft sleepers, potentially future All-Stars, who might be selected outside the lottery, we rely on our draft model, which projects a player’s future NBA DRIP by using a combination of box score statistics, pre-draft rankings, advanced Division I player metrics such as DRIP and WAR, and other factors.
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